Nafta Lendava vs Maribor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
57.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
6º
10º
10º
36
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 68 |
1º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
36 | 64 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 64 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 59 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 58 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 47 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 43 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 41 |
8º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 32 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
|
9º
|
10 | 23 |
10º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 22.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 21% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 43% |
|
Mid-table
|
2% | 13.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
21% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
77% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nafta Lendava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
NKG
0 - 15
NKN
6%
11%
83%
|
59 | 7 | 52 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CEL
3 - 1
NKN
71%
18%
10%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
NKO
0 - 8
NKN
6%
12%
82%
|
60 | 8 | 52 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
NKN
5 - 2
DOM
23%
23%
53%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 0
NKN
66%
22%
13%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 1
MAR
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 0
FCK
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
4 - 1
NKP
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 1
DJU
42%
24%
34%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
OLI
47%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |