Nafta Lendava vs Ilirija 1911 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
11.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nafta Lendava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
KRK
1 - 3
NKN
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
TAS
2 - 1
NKN
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
NKN
0 - 0
NKD
49%
24%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
ROG
0 - 4
NKN
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
NKN
1 - 1
BIL
72%
17%
11%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ilirija 1911
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
ILI
2 - 0
NKD
20%
24%
56%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
ROG
3 - 0
ILI
52%
22%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
ILI
0 - 0
BIL
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
BRE
3 - 1
ILI
39%
24%
37%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
ILI
0 - 2
FUZ
34%
26%
41%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |