Nafta Lendava vs Ilirija 1911 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
33.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nafta Lendava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
RAD
1 - 0
NKN
68%
18%
14%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
NKN
2 - 1
FUZ
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
NKN
2 - 2
NSM
33%
24%
43%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
TAS
2 - 1
NKN
32%
24%
44%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
NKN
1 - 0
KRK
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ilirija 1911
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
ILI
4 - 1
ROG
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
RAD
5 - 2
ILI
62%
20%
19%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
ILI
2 - 0
FUZ
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
KRA
1 - 3
ILI
45%
23%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2017 |
ILI
0 - 1
NSM
35%
24%
40%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |