Nafta Lendava vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
34.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nafta Lendava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 0
NKN
69%
19%
11%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
NKN
0 - 3
MUR
42%
25%
33%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
6 - 0
NKN
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
NKN
1 - 2
TRI
63%
22%
16%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
NKN
1 - 1
RUD
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CEL
0 - 0
GOR
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 1
SEN
67%
19%
15%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
FCK
0 - 0
CEL
63%
22%
16%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
SEN
1 - 1
CEL
27%
25%
48%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CEL
0 - 2
DOM
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |