Nafta Lendava vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nafta Lendava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 2
NKN
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
RUD
0 - 1
NKN
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
NKN
3 - 1
FCK
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
GOR
3 - 1
NKN
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
NKN
2 - 2
DOM
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2009 |
CEL
3 - 0
NKD
60%
23%
18%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
DOM
1 - 5
CEL
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
CEL
1 - 1
OLI
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 3
CEL
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
CEL
0 - 4
RUD
47%
25%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |