Krk vs Novigrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
35.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Krk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
JAP
1 - 1
KRK
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
KRK
4 - 1
NKC
49%
22%
29%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
NKG
5 - 0
KRK
86%
9%
5%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
KRK
1 - 3
VNV
41%
23%
37%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
NKR
3 - 0
KRK
64%
20%
16%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Novigrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
NKB
2 - 2
NOV
47%
21%
32%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 3
JAP
16%
20%
64%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
NKC
3 - 1
NOV
25%
20%
55%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 1
NKG
11%
16%
73%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
VNV
1 - 1
NOV
50%
21%
29%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |