NK Jarun vs Zrinski Osječko analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
39.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
4º
11º
5º
81
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Jarun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
NKJ
0 - 3
HNS
22%
26%
52%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SOL
1 - 1
NKJ
41%
25%
33%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
NKJ
0 - 3
VUK
31%
27%
42%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BIJ
0 - 0
NKJ
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
DUB
0 - 1
NKJ
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Zrinski Osječko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
DUB
0 - 1
ZRI
34%
27%
40%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ZRI
4 - 0
ZMI
58%
24%
19%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
NKD
0 - 0
ZRI
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
ZRI
2 - 2
NKR
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
HNK
1 - 4
ZRI
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |