NK Jarun vs Segesta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
4.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+85%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Jarun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
TRE
0 - 2
NKJ
11%
19%
70%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
NKJ
2 - 0
PON
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
BIS
1 - 3
NKJ
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
NKJ
2 - 2
SPA
76%
16%
9%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
ZAG
1 - 1
NKJ
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Segesta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
SEG
3 - 3
VRA
42%
24%
35%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
TRN
2 - 1
SEG
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
SEG
0 - 2
KAR
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
NUK
2 - 1
SEG
78%
15%
7%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
SEG
0 - 1
DUG
47%
23%
30%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |