NK Jarun vs NK Rudes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
2º
7º
5º
9
4º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 49 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 39 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 38 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
9 | 31 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
|
7º
|
8 | 30 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 28 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 28 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 28 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 27 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 26 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 25 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 15 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
89.5% | 97% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Jarun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
OPA
2 - 1
NKJ
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NKJ
3 - 1
DUB
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HNK
1 - 1
NKJ
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
NKD
0 - 0
NKJ
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
NKJ
2 - 2
NKD
54%
23%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
NK Rudes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
RUD
1 - 0
BIJ
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
PIT
1 - 2
RUD
12%
17%
71%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
RUD
2 - 1
ZMI
57%
22%
20%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
OPA
1 - 0
RUD
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
RUD
1 - 2
DUB
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |