NK Jarun vs HNK Orijent Rijeka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
12º
5º
43
4º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Jarun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
VUK
4 - 1
NKJ
28%
27%
45%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
NKJ
1 - 3
RUD
26%
26%
48%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
KRK
3 - 1
NKJ
58%
21%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
NKJ
0 - 3
RUD
26%
23%
51%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
NKR
3 - 2
NKJ
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
HNK Orijent Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ORI
2 - 2
DUB
50%
24%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ORI
1 - 1
SOL
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
OPA
0 - 4
ORI
27%
24%
50%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
RUD
2 - 0
ORI
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ORI
3 - 0
OPA
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |