NK Jarun vs NK Dugopolje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
4º
11º
5º
37
3º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Jarun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
SOL
0 - 1
NKJ
42%
25%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
NKJ
1 - 3
BIJ
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
HNS
2 - 0
NKJ
73%
18%
9%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NKJ
2 - 0
SOL
58%
21%
21%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VUK
0 - 1
NKJ
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
NK Dugopolje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
NKD
0 - 0
DUB
48%
27%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
NKD
2 - 2
SOL
52%
25%
24%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
HNK
2 - 1
NKD
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NKD
1 - 2
ORI
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
ZRI
3 - 0
NKD
58%
25%
18%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |