Idrija vs Aluminij analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.1%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
86.5%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
13.1%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.4%
0-4
10%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
13.7%
0-5
6.1%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.9%
0-6
3.1%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.9%
0-7
1.3%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.6%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Idrija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
NKI
1 - 0
FVI
12%
17%
71%
|
12 | 45 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
BIL
0 - 0
NKI
89%
9%
3%
|
11 | 52 | 41 | +1 |
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
ALU
0 - 0
KRK
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
NKP
0 - 1
ALU
25%
24%
51%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
ALU
4 - 0
BIL
63%
21%
15%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
ALU
11 - 0
SDB
87%
10%
3%
|
58 | 12 | 46 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
NKD
3 - 2
ALU
28%
24%
49%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |