Hodoš vs NK Grad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.4%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
76.6%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Grad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 4
KRS
13%
19%
69%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
GRA
0 - 4
FCK
12%
21%
68%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2019 |
FCK
4 - 0
GRA
86%
10%
4%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
ODR
1 - 1
GRA
63%
20%
16%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
GRA
3 - 0
RAD
91%
7%
2%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | +1 |