Hodoš vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
2.6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.4%
1-0
1%
2-1
0.8%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.1%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.3%
89.9%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
13.5%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
20%
0-4
11.4%
1-5
3.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
15.6%
0-5
7.6%
1-6
2.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
9.9%
0-6
4.3%
1-7
1%
2-8
0.1%
-6
5.4%
0-7
2%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0%
-7
2.5%
0-8
0.9%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
1%
0-9
0.3%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.4%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hodoš
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
NKT
1 - 1
NKH
38%
22%
41%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
NKH
0 - 0
SDA
43%
21%
35%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
NKH
0 - 4
NSM
3%
9%
87%
|
8 | 69 | 61 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
SDC
0 - 1
NKH
75%
15%
10%
|
6 | 16 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
NKH
2 - 3
GRA
9%
14%
77%
|
7 | 37 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
RAD
4 - 2
CEL
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
CEL
5 - 1
IST
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CEL
4 - 3
NSM
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 2
CEL
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 1
CEL
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |