Fruskogorac Ilok vs NK Varazdin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.8%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
77.9%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.6%
0-4
7%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fruskogorac Ilok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
NFI
1 - 3
HNK
8%
17%
75%
|
7 | 72 | 65 | 0 |
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 1
NKV
61%
23%
16%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
NKV
3 - 1
SLA
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
BIJ
1 - 2
NKV
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
NKV
3 - 0
VIS
87%
10%
4%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
MZL
1 - 1
NKV
32%
27%
42%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |