NK Dugopolje vs HNK Cibalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
36.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
5º
11º
11º
24
1º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 44 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 44 |
2º
|
60.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 37 |
3º
|
63.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 32 |
4º
|
37% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 31 |
5º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 31 |
6º
|
36% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 27 |
7º
|
29% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 26 |
8º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 25 |
9º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 22 |
10º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
16 | 21 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 15 |
12º
|
91% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
44% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
50% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
6% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Dugopolje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
ZRI
0 - 2
NKD
62%
23%
16%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
NKD
0 - 0
NKR
24%
26%
50%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
NKD
1 - 0
BIJ
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ORI
2 - 0
NKD
39%
25%
37%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
NKD
0 - 1
VUK
19%
26%
55%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
HNK
5 - 0
ZRI
33%
27%
40%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
NKR
2 - 1
HNK
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
HNK
1 - 1
ORI
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
VUK
2 - 0
HNK
69%
19%
11%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HNK
1 - 1
NKJ
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |