NK Dugopolje vs HNK Cibalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
32.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
5º
11º
11º
8
1º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 49 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 39 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 38 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 31 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 30 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 28 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 28 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 28 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
8 | 27 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 26 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 25 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 15 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
64.5% | 88% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
27.5% | 8.5% |
|
Relegation
|
8% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Dugopolje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
ZRI
0 - 2
NKD
62%
23%
16%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
NKD
0 - 0
NKR
24%
26%
50%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
NKD
1 - 0
BIJ
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ORI
2 - 0
NKD
39%
25%
37%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
NKD
0 - 1
VUK
19%
26%
55%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
NKR
2 - 1
HNK
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
HNK
1 - 1
ORI
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
VUK
2 - 0
HNK
69%
19%
11%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HNK
1 - 1
NKJ
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BIJ
0 - 4
HNK
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +2 |