Liga Croata HNL - Play Offs Promotion Final
Global 2-1
NK Croatia Sesvete vs Hrvatski Dragovoljac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
28.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Croatia Sesvete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2009 |
HDR
0 - 0
NKC
42%
25%
33%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
NKC
2 - 1
NKV
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
ZAD
1 - 1
NKC
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ZAG
0 - 0
NKC
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
NKC
0 - 3
INT
47%
24%
29%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2009 |
HDR
0 - 0
NKC
42%
25%
33%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
HDR
1 - 0
KAR
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
POM
1 - 3
HDR
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
HDR
2 - 1
SOL
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
HDR
1 - 0
VIN
53%
25%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |