Cres vs Novigrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
47.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
NKC
4 - 0
NKC
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
NKC
1 - 0
ULJ
19%
20%
61%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
NKC
3 - 3
POM
10%
20%
70%
|
21 | 63 | 42 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
NKC
1 - 1
NNH
38%
22%
40%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
NKC
6 - 0
NKC
84%
11%
5%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Novigrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 0
NNH
60%
20%
19%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
PAZ
0 - 0
NOV
41%
22%
37%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 0
NKB
40%
23%
37%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 0
NEH
54%
24%
22%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
KRK
1 - 3
NOV
42%
23%
36%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |