Cres vs NK Medulin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
21.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
12º
9º
21
7º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 56 |
1º
|
76% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
76% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
52.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
52.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 32 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
38% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 31 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
NKR
2 - 1
NKC
50%
23%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
NKC
3 - 1
NKK
32%
22%
46%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +3 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
NKB
2 - 2
NKC
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
NKC
2 - 2
NNH
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
NKC
0 - 1
NKC
37%
23%
40%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
NK Medulin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
NKM
1 - 3
NEH
27%
23%
50%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ROV
3 - 2
NKM
61%
19%
21%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
NKM
3 - 1
VNV
19%
21%
60%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | +5 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
NHV
4 - 1
NKM
74%
14%
11%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
NKM
0 - 2
POM
14%
17%
69%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -2 |