Cres vs Jadran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
51.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
NKC
2 - 1
NKB
60%
19%
21%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
NKG
4 - 1
NKC
81%
12%
7%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
NKC
2 - 0
VNV
45%
22%
33%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
NKR
3 - 1
NKC
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
NKC
1 - 1
PAZ
27%
22%
51%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
JAP
2 - 1
NKG
29%
24%
47%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
VNV
3 - 3
JAP
29%
22%
49%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
JAP
1 - 0
NKR
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
PAZ
1 - 1
JAP
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
JAP
2 - 1
ROV
74%
16%
11%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |