Čepin vs Vukovar '91 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
62.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.7%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Čepin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
ORI
1 - 2
CEP
48%
25%
27%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
CEP
0 - 3
MAR
31%
25%
44%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SLO
2 - 0
CEP
57%
23%
20%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
CEP
3 - 4
ZRI
25%
25%
51%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 0
CEP
42%
26%
32%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
VUK
6 - 1
SLA
76%
17%
8%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
CRO
3 - 1
VUK
16%
24%
60%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
VUK
2 - 1
SLA
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
BEL
0 - 0
VUK
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
VUK
3 - 0
OGV
84%
13%
4%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | 0 |