Čepin vs Vukovar '91 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
26.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Čepin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
NKK
2 - 0
CEP
24%
23%
54%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
CEP
3 - 0
NKS
80%
13%
7%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
CEP
2 - 1
ORI
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
SLA
3 - 0
CEP
49%
22%
29%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CEP
1 - 2
VAL
51%
21%
28%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
VUK
3 - 0
NKV
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
ZRI
0 - 0
VUK
36%
23%
42%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
NKK
0 - 5
VUK
33%
22%
45%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
VUK
2 - 1
NKS
75%
15%
10%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
SLA
1 - 1
VUK
65%
18%
17%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |