NK Bratstvo Gračanica vs Tomislav analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
4º
11º
5º
19
3º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
21 | 60 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
1º
|
30 | 58 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 49 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 47 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
19 | 46 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 43 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 43 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 43 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 43 |
9º
|
6% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 42 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 39 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 38 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 34 |
13º
|
7.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 33 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 32 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 16 |
16º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 98% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Bratstvo Gračanica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
GOR
1 - 2
BRA
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
BUD
1 - 2
BRA
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 1
JED
68%
18%
14%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SLO
2 - 0
BRA
73%
19%
8%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 0
VSB
59%
20%
20%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tomislav
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
TMS
3 - 1
SLO
25%
27%
49%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TMS
4 - 0
BRO
15%
19%
66%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
TMS
1 - 1
POS
11%
17%
72%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
TMS
0 - 2
SIR
9%
15%
76%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
GRD
1 - 4
TMS
34%
24%
42%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |