Gančani vs NS Mura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.3%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.5%
1-0
1.4%
2-1
1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.7%
9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9%
87.6%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
13.9%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.7%
0-4
10.6%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
14.1%
0-5
6.5%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
8.2%
0-6
3.3%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4.1%
0-7
1.4%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.7%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gančani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
NKA
4 - 2
TRO
28%
21%
50%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
NKD
0 - 10
NKA
13%
17%
71%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
NS Mura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
NSM
3 - 0
RAD
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
NSM
3 - 1
CEL
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DOM
2 - 2
NSM
40%
26%
33%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
NSM
2 - 3
OLI
43%
26%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
NSM
2 - 1
FCK
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |