NJ LUSO Parma vs Jersey Express analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
63.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NJ LUSO Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
BAL
5 - 1
NJL
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
NJL
3 - 1
CJS
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2013 |
OCE
4 - 0
NJL
74%
17%
9%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2013 |
OCE
2 - 0
NJL
74%
17%
9%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
NJL
4 - 0
NEW
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Jersey Express
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
LON
2 - 3
JER
30%
24%
47%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
WES
1 - 6
JER
14%
20%
67%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2013 |
JER
1 - 1
REA
42%
24%
34%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
REA
2 - 2
JER
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2013 |
OCE
0 - 2
JER
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +2 |