Nizhny Novgorod Reservas vs Fakel Reservas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
60%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
6º
9º
8º
22
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
22 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 19 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 16 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 10 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nizhny Novgorod Reservas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
KUB
3 - 0
NIZ
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
NIZ
0 - 1
SCH
20%
21%
59%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
FRE
1 - 1
NIZ
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
NIZ
0 - 0
TER
28%
22%
51%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
FKK
2 - 2
NIZ
62%
19%
20%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fakel Reservas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 0
TOR
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
ORE
0 - 1
FRE
12%
17%
71%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
FRE
1 - 1
NIZ
75%
15%
10%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
KSS
0 - 0
FRE
27%
22%
52%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
UMO
0 - 1
FRE
15%
18%
68%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |