Nyva Ternopil vs Bukovyna Chernivtsi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
35.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
3º
8º
6º
20
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 33 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 31 |
2º
|
72.5% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 25 |
3º
|
72.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
20 | 23 |
4º
|
60% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 19 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
|
5º
|
16 | 19 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 19 |
7º
|
32.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 16 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 11 |
9º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
24.5% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
75.5% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nyva Ternopil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
MET
2 - 0
NYV
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
FED
1 - 1
NYV
69%
20%
12%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
POK
1 - 0
NYV
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
NYV
2 - 3
FKA
31%
29%
40%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
PRY
3 - 0
NYV
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bukovyna Chernivtsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BUK
1 - 1
POK
40%
28%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 0
BUK
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
BUK
0 - 0
PRY
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BUK
2 - 1
MIN
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MET
0 - 1
BUK
56%
25%
20%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |