UEFA Intertoto Cup Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Nitra vs Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
37.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nitra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2006 |
GRE
0 - 6
NIT
53%
24%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2006 |
NIT
6 - 2
GRE
46%
24%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +2 |
| 31 May. 2006 |
PUC
1 - 0
NIT
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
NIT
2 - 2
DUB
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2006 |
NIT
1 - 1
TNV
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2006 |
DNI
1 - 0
KRY
64%
23%
13%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
FCM
0 - 1
DNI
34%
26%
40%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
MET
0 - 6
DNI
33%
29%
38%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2006 |
STA
0 - 0
DNI
34%
28%
38%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
DNI
0 - 0
VOL
63%
23%
14%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |