UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 2-0
Nistru Otaci vs Cwmbran Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nistru Otaci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2000 |
CWM
0 - 1
NIS
51%
24%
26%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2000 |
NIS
1 - 2
SHF
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2000 |
GAZ
1 - 1
NIS
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2000 |
EDU
0 - 4
NIS
21%
26%
54%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2000 |
NIS
1 - 1
ACH
65%
22%
13%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Cwmbran Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2000 |
CWM
0 - 1
NIS
51%
24%
26%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
CAE
0 - 2
CWM
20%
24%
57%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2000 |
CWM
3 - 1
CAR
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2000 |
CWM
3 - 2
LID
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2000 |
CWM
1 - 0
HAV
73%
17%
11%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |