Q. Europa League Ronda Previa Final
Global 2-8
Nistru Otaci vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nistru Otaci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
NIS
0 - 2
ZIM
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
TIT
1 - 1
NIS
40%
28%
33%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2003 |
CRV
5 - 0
NIS
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
NIS
4 - 3
UAC
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2003 |
NIS
1 - 0
TIR
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
CRV
2 - 0
HAJ
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2003 |
CRV
5 - 0
NIS
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
NAP
2 - 1
CRV
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2003 |
CRV
0 - 1
SME
53%
22%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
CRV
1 - 0
RAD
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |