Nissa FC vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
56.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+63%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
7º
15º
12º
6
1º
15º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
6 | 75 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
6 | 72 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 61 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 57 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 55 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 51 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 51 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 51 |
8º
|
3.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 50 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 47 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 46 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
2 | 44 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 43 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 40 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 38 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 27 |
16º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 25 |
17º
|
30% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 19 |
18º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 33% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10% | 63.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
56.5% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
31.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nissa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
PAT
0 - 0
NIS
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
NIS
1 - 1
USV
24%
24%
52%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
MES
8 - 1
NIS
86%
11%
3%
|
13 | 44 | 31 | +17 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
NIS
1 - 4
LIC
12%
18%
70%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CAV
3 - 0
NIS
83%
13%
4%
|
14 | 42 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SIR
3 - 0
RAG
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ASD
1 - 0
SIR
21%
23%
56%
|
59 | 32 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SIR
2 - 1
REG
25%
25%
49%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SIR
3 - 0
ACI
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 4
SIR
26%
25%
50%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |