Nissa FC vs ASD Sambiase analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
38.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+75%
+121%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
6º
14º
6º
45
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 77 |
1º
|
55.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 75 |
2º
|
48.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 66 |
3º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 63 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 62 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 51 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 46 |
7º
|
29% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 42 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 41 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 40 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 38 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 37 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 37 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 36 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
17º
|
17 | 34 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
16º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 31 |
17º
|
28% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 26 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 2% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5% | 98% |
|
Mid-table
|
94.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nissa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SIR
4 - 1
NIS
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
NIS
4 - 1
PAT
49%
25%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
USV
4 - 0
NIS
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
LIC
2 - 3
NIS
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
NIS
1 - 0
AKR
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
ASD Sambiase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ASD
1 - 1
POM
71%
18%
12%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ASD
1 - 0
USV
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
SIR
1 - 2
ASD
64%
22%
14%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
AKR
0 - 2
ASD
35%
25%
39%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ASD
2 - 1
PAT
57%
23%
21%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |