Niort II vs Saint-Nazaire AF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.3%
19.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
11º
11º
22
10º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 2
NIO
23%
24%
54%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
NIO
0 - 5
FON
55%
22%
23%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
USS
2 - 0
NIO
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
NIO
2 - 1
LAV
51%
22%
27%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SPG
3 - 1
NIO
30%
23%
47%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -3 |
Matches
Saint-Nazaire AF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SNA
0 - 0
ASC
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LSD
1 - 1
SNA
71%
16%
13%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SNA
1 - 3
NAN
16%
19%
65%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 0
SNA
63%
20%
18%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SAB
1 - 1
SNA
55%
20%
24%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |