Niort II vs Pau FC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
14%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
5º
14º
5º
42
3º
14º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
3º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MON
0 - 3
NIO
35%
24%
41%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
NIO
2 - 1
CHA
32%
23%
45%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CNF
6 - 3
NIO
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GUE
3 - 2
NIO
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
NIO
3 - 0
PED
53%
21%
27%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Pau FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
5 - 1
FCP
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
FCP
0 - 0
PED
48%
22%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LEG
1 - 2
FCP
61%
22%
17%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FCP
2 - 1
FCL
25%
22%
53%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FCP
1 - 2
LES
24%
23%
54%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |