Niort II vs Aviron Bayonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
12.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
LRO
1 - 1
NIO
33%
24%
43%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
NIO
3 - 0
ANG
62%
19%
19%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
FCP
0 - 2
NIO
43%
24%
34%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
NIO
2 - 3
STA
40%
27%
34%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
BRE
1 - 1
NIO
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aviron Bayonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
LIM
2 - 0
BAY
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
BAY
7 - 2
LRO
49%
23%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ANG
3 - 0
BAY
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
BAY
3 - 0
FCP
40%
24%
36%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
STA
3 - 1
BAY
71%
19%
10%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |