Nîmes vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
33.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
6º
16º
16º
28
2º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 57 |
1º
|
47% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 53 |
2º
|
18.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 51 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 51 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 50 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 49 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 44 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 44 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 44 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 43 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 43 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 41 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 38 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 36 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 34 |
15º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 31 |
16º
|
33.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 27 |
17º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 4.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
41% | 92% |
|
Relegation
|
59% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
CHA
3 - 2
NÎM
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
AUB
2 - 0
NÎM
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
NÎM
1 - 2
ASN
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
GOB
1 - 1
NÎM
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
NÎM
0 - 0
LMU
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
VAL
1 - 0
ORL
38%
28%
35%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ASN
1 - 2
VAL
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
LMU
1 - 1
VAL
50%
24%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
VAL
1 - 1
GOB
51%
26%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
THL
2 - 2
VAL
15%
19%
67%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |