Nîmes vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1972 |
NÎM
4 - 0
ASS
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1972 |
NIC
4 - 0
NÎM
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1972 |
NÎM
2 - 0
AJA
71%
17%
12%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1972 |
ASN
0 - 1
NÎM
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1972 |
NÎM
2 - 0
RED
82%
12%
6%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 1971 |
VAL
1 - 2
RED
52%
27%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1971 |
GIR
1 - 0
VAL
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 1971 |
VAL
3 - 1
NIC
45%
29%
26%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1971 |
REN
1 - 1
VAL
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1971 |
VAL
2 - 2
MET
41%
30%
29%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |