Nîmes vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
REN
1 - 1
NÎM
44%
23%
33%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
TFC
2 - 0
NÎM
42%
24%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
GIR
0 - 0
NÎM
48%
22%
30%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
NÎM
4 - 2
LEN
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
SED
3 - 0
NÎM
48%
23%
29%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
VAL
2 - 0
MPL
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
VAL
1 - 1
GRE
61%
21%
17%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
VAL
2 - 0
REI
27%
23%
50%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
VAL
2 - 0
ASN
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
VAL
4 - 0
ANG
47%
25%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |