Nîmes vs US Boulogne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
6º
16º
16º
33
2º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 57 |
1º
|
47% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 53 |
2º
|
18.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 51 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 51 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 50 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
33 | 49 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 44 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 44 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 44 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 43 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 43 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 41 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 38 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 36 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 34 |
15º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 31 |
16º
|
33.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 27 |
17º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 22.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 11% |
|
Mid-table
|
41% | 66.5% |
|
Relegation
|
59% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
DIJ
0 - 0
NÎM
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SOA
1 - 4
NÎM
5%
11%
84%
|
62 | 8 | 54 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
NÎM
1 - 1
SOC
34%
26%
40%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 0
NÎM
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
NÎM
1 - 0
VER
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
US Boulogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
USB
3 - 0
ORL
30%
28%
42%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
GAM
0 - 3
USB
7%
13%
80%
|
59 | 9 | 50 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
AUB
3 - 0
USB
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
USB
1 - 1
ASN
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
GOB
0 - 1
USB
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |