Nîmes vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
NÎM
1 - 1
NIC
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
NÎM
0 - 0
NAN
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1977 |
FCR
2 - 0
NÎM
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1977 |
NÎM
1 - 2
VAL
63%
21%
15%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1977 |
MAR
1 - 1
NÎM
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
TRO
0 - 2
MET
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1977 |
NAN
3 - 0
TRO
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1977 |
TRO
3 - 1
FCR
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 1977 |
LYO
0 - 0
TRO
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1977 |
TRO
0 - 1
MAR
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |