Nîmes vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1984 |
STL
1 - 0
NÎM
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1984 |
NÎM
1 - 0
NAN
26%
29%
46%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1984 |
TFC
5 - 0
NÎM
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1983 |
NÎM
0 - 3
STR
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1983 |
FCR
3 - 0
NÎM
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1984 |
SPO
1 - 0
BAS
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1984 |
MON
1 - 0
SPO
82%
12%
7%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1984 |
SPO
1 - 0
GIR
17%
21%
62%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
ASS
1 - 0
SPO
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1983 |
SPO
0 - 1
REN
45%
27%
29%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |