Nîmes vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
MON
1 - 1
NÎM
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1965 |
NÎM
0 - 3
NAN
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
SOC
1 - 1
NÎM
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
NÎM
1 - 0
ASS
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
LEN
3 - 1
NÎM
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
SPO
0 - 0
STR
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
ANG
0 - 0
SPO
63%
20%
17%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1965 |
SPO
0 - 2
TFC
29%
25%
46%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1965 |
GIR
3 - 0
SPO
71%
17%
13%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
SPO
1 - 0
FCR
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |