Nîmes vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
FCR
0 - 1
NÎM
36%
29%
35%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
NÎM
4 - 1
FRE
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
LPS
0 - 3
NÎM
31%
29%
40%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
NÎM
3 - 3
LUS
63%
22%
16%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2011 |
NÎM
1 - 1
ASB
59%
23%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BRC
0 - 0
RED
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
RED
2 - 1
FCR
20%
26%
54%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
RED
0 - 5
MAR
9%
19%
72%
|
51 | 90 | 39 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
VAN
4 - 0
RED
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
RED
2 - 0
LPS
29%
28%
43%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +2 |