Nîmes vs Orléans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
7º
13º
11º
10
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
8º
|
7 | 55 |
1º
|
22% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 54 |
2º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 53 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 50 |
4º
|
9% | |
|
|
5º
|
10 | 50 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 47 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 45 |
7º
|
5.5% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 44 |
8º
|
5.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 42 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 42 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
7 | 41 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 40 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 39 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 37 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 37 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 35 |
16º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 28 |
17º
|
38.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 21% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2% | 9.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
83% | 68% |
|
Relegation
|
12.5% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
NÎM
2 - 0
CAN
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
4 - 1
NÎM
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FCM
1 - 0
NÎM
55%
22%
23%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
NÎM
1 - 2
AUB
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
NÎM
3 - 1
IST
82%
13%
6%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Orléans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
STL
3 - 2
ORL
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
ORL
4 - 0
STP
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
ORL
2 - 0
LMU
39%
25%
37%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
BOU
2 - 1
ORL
15%
20%
66%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
ORL
1 - 1
AUX
14%
19%
67%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |