Nîmes vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1976 |
REI
2 - 0
NÎM
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1976 |
NÎM
3 - 0
PSG
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1976 |
NÎM
2 - 2
ASN
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1976 |
LYO
4 - 0
NÎM
62%
21%
16%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1976 |
NÎM
3 - 1
ANG
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1976 |
LEN
4 - 2
LIL
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1976 |
LYO
3 - 3
LEN
63%
20%
16%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1976 |
LEN
2 - 1
SOC
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1976 |
REN
2 - 1
LEN
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1976 |
LEN
4 - 3
BAS
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |