Nîmes vs Fréjus St-Raphaël analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2010 |
NÎM
2 - 0
MET
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2010 |
TOU
0 - 2
NÎM
60%
23%
16%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2010 |
NÎM
2 - 1
VAN
55%
25%
21%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
REI
1 - 1
NÎM
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2010 |
NÎM
1 - 0
TRO
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
PFC
1 - 1
FRE
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
FRE
1 - 1
COL
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 0
FRE
67%
21%
12%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2010 |
FRE
1 - 0
NIO
51%
26%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
GUI
3 - 1
FRE
66%
22%
12%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |