Nîmes vs Athlético Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2017 |
NÎM
4 - 1
QUE
72%
19%
10%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
VAL
1 - 2
NÎM
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
NÎM
4 - 0
BRE
49%
26%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2017 |
NÎM
4 - 1
ORL
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
PFC
2 - 1
NÎM
21%
26%
54%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2017 |
CHA
3 - 0
CON
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
CON
1 - 0
BEZ
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
STL
1 - 1
CON
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
CON
1 - 2
GRE
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
CON
0 - 1
AVR
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |