Nîmes vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
50.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
CLE
0 - 1
NÎM
54%
25%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
NÎM
1 - 1
ARL
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
AJA
2 - 0
NÎM
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
NÎM
3 - 0
SED
36%
28%
35%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2009 |
CHA
1 - 2
NÎM
42%
29%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
CAE
0 - 0
TOU
60%
24%
17%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
BRE
2 - 0
CAE
24%
25%
52%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
CAE
4 - 2
VAN
66%
22%
12%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
CAE
2 - 1
ANG
64%
23%
13%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2009 |
CLE
1 - 3
CAE
28%
25%
46%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |