Nîmes vs Aviron Bayonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
NIO
1 - 1
NÎM
47%
27%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NÎM
1 - 1
SPI
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
BRC
1 - 1
NÎM
25%
28%
47%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
PFC
0 - 1
NÎM
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
NÎM
0 - 0
CHE
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Aviron Bayonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BAY
2 - 1
RED
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
FCR
0 - 0
BAY
63%
23%
14%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
BAY
0 - 2
ORL
31%
30%
39%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
BAY
1 - 1
FRE
26%
27%
47%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
VAN
2 - 0
BAY
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |