Nîmes vs Arles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
MET
2 - 2
NÎM
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
NÎM
0 - 0
LHA
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
NÎM
1 - 2
TRO
40%
25%
36%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
TOU
3 - 1
NÎM
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
NÎM
3 - 2
TRO
40%
27%
34%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
ARL
3 - 2
CAE
25%
28%
47%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
NIO
1 - 0
ARL
42%
29%
30%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
ASN
1 - 0
ARL
65%
22%
14%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
ARL
1 - 0
CLE
37%
29%
35%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
MET
1 - 0
ARL
49%
27%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |